Friday, March 11, 2011

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General completes pullback. Critical level at 15.30.

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offer the weekly chart of the General who, after having reached the area of \u200b\u200b€ 17.00, folds to 15.50 / 30 going to do a technical pullback occurs on the primary bearish trendline upward motion passed with the beginning of the year. The seal of the 15.30 / 50 could attract new purchases on the title with the first target to 16.00 euro, 17.00 and following. Negative only in case of return under € 15.30, then 15.00, and in this case, prices could slide back towards the strong area of \u200b\u200bsupport static positioned to 13.50 / € 14.00. Operations can be groped acquisti con stop loss sotto 15,30 e obiettivo a 17,00. Incrementare sopra quest'ultimo livello con target minimale a 18,20 e massimale a 19,30 euro.

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Euro / Dollar falls back close to 1.375. Failed trying to breakout of 1.40.

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Nei giorni scorsi l'Euro/Dollaro ha raggiunto il primo obiettivo a quota 1,40, superandolo in intraday nella giornata del 7 marzo (realizzato 1,403), ma non è stato in grado di confermarsi sopra questo livello. Il cross è tornato velocemente a ridosso della precedente fascia di resistenza statica, divenuta adesso supporto, collocata tra 1,375 e 1,378. Possiamo rilevare inoltre la fuoriscita dal canale parabolico evolvente di breve termine orientato al rialzo che avevamo individuato nelle recenti analisi, e che ormai si è deteriorato. Oggi il cambio è venuto a contatto con la parabolica evolvente di più ampia portata, passante proprio in area 1,375. Facciamo quindi molta attenzione a questo livello, che se dovesse essere violato al ribasso segnalerebbe la fine della tendenza positiva per l'euro, con possibile target di breve a 1,35. La tenuta di 1,375 potrebbe invece favorire un nuovo rimbalzo speculativo in area 1,40. L'area critica da superare per il proseguimento della tendenza rialzista è collocata 1.42 / 425, but the possibility of a breakout in this sense is for the time being blurred. On the weekly chart we can see that the cross has reached the top of the moderately bearish trend in place since July 2008. The bearish trend line that marks the top of this broad channel passes this week in the area 1,40 / 405. From these levels is possible, therefore, the development of a new leg bearish medium-term objective that would represent the minimum and maximum 1.29 1.195 / 188.

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gap down opening in fast recovery. It remains above 22000. Double

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Recall the graph of the FTSE MIB in a broader horizon, starting last summer, and see how the index is placed after the opening gap in down, the polarizing trend line that we had already proposed in a previous analysis. This trend line starts from the relative minimum in May 2010, and may be interpreted as a kind of interpolation of index fluctuations over the past ten months. 21900 passes through the area today and was able to generate a positive response soon after opening. However the index is finally released from short-term uptrend, with the break bearish yesterday, and could seek a balance in the 21650, which remains the critical region for a possible turnaround in the medium term. From here transits support dynamic part from the lows of November, and also exceeded the primary bearish in January. The scenario remains essentially unchanged with excursions in bearish 21650/700. The compilation of 22,000 would favor a mild technical rebound up to 22300/320. Under 21,650, we expect an acceleration downwards instead of up to 20,900 points. Consider also the model with the parabolic involute, and see how the development suggested in the previous analysis (parabolic involute oriented upward) results in a support area 21800/850 proprio in questi giorni. Si rafforza dunque l'ipotesi che per il momento ci troviamo di fronte ad una semplice correzione del mercato, che potrebbe generare nuovi tentativi di acquisto nell'area 21650/800.

Thursday, March 10, 2011

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up to 9.65 / 70 STM that now threatens to reverse the trend.

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STMicroel. non è riuscita a superare stabilmente i precedenti massimi relativi del settembre 2008 (9,50 euro) e ha ripreso ad indebolirsi registrando un doppio massimo di breve termine in area 9,65/70. IL movimento di oggi è importante perchè i prezzi scendono sotto la trendline rialzista (passante per 9,30) che sosteneva il rialzo dai minimi relativi di ottobre 2010. La configurazione di doppio massimo verrebbe confermata sotto 8,85, mentre il cedimento del supporto statico a 8,70 andrebbe a completare il segnale d'inversione negativa. In questo caso avremmo come primi obiettivi 8,30 e 7,70, indicati sul grafico weekly come primi ritracciamenti di Fibonacci. E' importante notare ancora sul grafico weekly il ripetuto test della parte superiore del trend positivo in atto dal marzo 2009, che ha frenato il forte rialzo degli ultimi sei mesi. Solo il breakout di 9,50 confermato su chiusura settimanale potrebbe riconfermare il trend positivo con possibile accelerazione up to 10 €, but this hypothesis is currently the least likely. Operationally we can sell short with stop loss above 9.50 and the first dry objectives 8.85 and 8.70, increasing short positions in the second goal in the area with 8.70 7.70 / 85.

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S & P 500 still on a roller coaster. Sudden drop below 1300 points. The FTSE

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remains fairly high rate of nervousness about the U.S. stock markets, so that in the last two weeks we could talk instead of neurosis. The intraday excursions are pretty violent and have frequent changes of direction and the other between sessions. Today the S & P 500 drops back below 1300 points. We pay much attention as indicated in the recent analysis, the possible closure as below this level would be very dangerous for the U.S. equity. The equalization of 55 sessions runs right around 1300 (exactly 1296), and had indicated as a likely trigger for the start of a new bear market. We note that the index is leaving, with the movement today, the medium-term bullish channel in place since last summer, and also the evolving parabolic medium term. The confirmation below an altitude of 1300 could also trigger a sell-off with quick goals and 1260 points to 1275, and subsequent accelerations up to 1230. At this point only the keeping of 1300 points could still leave some hope for a rebound until 1320, but the positive signal would reach only above 1332, the level which has repeatedly rejected attempts to rise last week.

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MIB gives the base of the uptrend. Probable target area 21500/650.

The FTSE MIB can not remain above the area of \u200b\u200bthe ground breaking 22,300 points and yields fall below the base of the short-term bullish channel that supported the movement of the market year to date. The situation tends to worsen in the short term, with possibility of extension downward to the area 21650. Just below this level at 21,500 points, passes the bullish side of the support dynamic relative minimum in November. The Parabolic SAR continues to signal the start a bear market, which could become dangerous in the likely acceleration of up to 21,500 with 20,900, a level from which passes the 200-day moving average. At this point only the return above 22,300 could rekindle some hope for the possible continuation of the trend, which would be confirmed over 22,700 points, but the latter case, more and more away.

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Dax worsening towards the 7000 points.

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the Dax was unable to overcome the dynamic resistance of the very short term bearish and has weakened further in the session today, falling below the first level of support static we had indicated at an altitude of 7090 points. The intraday volatility is low, and the spinning top indicates the direction is still indecision. The technical scenario could still be weakened and it is clear from the graph: the index has abandoned the medium-term uptrend that accompanied the rise since the summer of last year, although the turnaround would be completed only by the descent below 7000 points. In this case, the first targets were identified in 6850 and 6700 points. The estate of 7000 could encourage some speculative buying instead for a technical rebound towards the area 7225. Positive signs for a resumption of the trend comes only with the excess of 7300 points.

Wednesday, March 9, 2011

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E 'Pirelli the strongest on the list. The objective for the short to € 6.50. The

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Pirelli has shown a rather high relative strength in Ftse against the MIB in the last three sessions. The title was tested three times in recent weeks, the bullish long-term dynamic support, passing in the area 5.60 / 70, which has always supported the purchases. Very significant that the three white soldiers is being completed in the session today, with prices moderately bearish leaving the channel in place since last ottobre, e superano anche la resistenza statica collocata a quota 6,15 euro. Importante anche l'aumento nei volumi di scambio. Probabile lo sviluppo di un nuovo impulso rialzista che potrebbe portare le quotazioni al breakout dell'area 6,45/50, un livello che non viene superato dal 2007. Questo movimento proietterebbe i corsi in area 7,15. L'inversione di tendenza è al momento l'ipotesi meno probabile e arriverebbe solo con il ritorno sotto 5,50, livello che si allontana sempre di più. Osserviamo anche il grafico weekly che mette in evidenza la trendline primaria ribassista passante in questi giorni proprio per l'area 6,45/50. Il breakout di questo livello assumerebbe dunque una valenza importante anche in un'ottica di medio termine con obiettivo to € 7.70.

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Eurostoxx50 takes support at 2900 and try again.

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Let's review the chart of long-term Eurostoxx 50 with parabolic involute, and see if the model remains valid. The index has made a bull trap in mid-February, exceeding the static strength and placed in the 3000/3050 band folding quickly to almost 2900 points (minimum 2,910 made). The estate of this level is very important. From here the canal passes under the parabolic involute (C) projected in the last analysis, that makes it valuable development bullish for the medium and long term. The area 2900 is also a static support rather solid, which proved sensitive to buy on corrections already in January and February. We set up this level then the discriminant for a possible bearish reversal signal, which should be confirmed, however, with the subsequent breaking of the support dynamic linear current flowing to 2820 points. In the case of sealing of 2900 we can expect a new bounce to the area 3030/50, after which we will have a new positive signal.

Tuesday, March 8, 2011

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On the U.S. market increased nervousness. Trigger downward between 1295 and 1300 points.

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Recall the daily chart of the S & P 500 ahead now that the technical scenario is not substantially changed since the last analysis. What is worth noting is the amplitude of the candles in the last ten sessions: we must go back to the summer of last year to find a string of candles that are changing the face of such large and sudden. It 'clear that the nervousness is increasing. We have included the Directional Movement indicator that shows, for the first time since last November, a bearish cross. The motion must still be confirmed by the index falls below the 1295/1300 area, where over the next few days will pass even the moving average of 55 sessions. Nel brevissimo il mercato ha incontrato per tre volte, nello spazio di quattro sedute, una resistenza a nuovi tentativi di rialzo a quota 1332 punti. Il ribasso della seduta di ieri ha riportato l'S&P 500 appena sotto la base del canale rialzista di medio termine che guida il rialzo dall'estate del 2010, e a contatto con la parabolica evolvente ipotizzata (in giallo) che passa attualmente appena sopra i 1300 punti. Importante anche la risalita del VIX, che è passato dal 16% al 22% stabilizzandosi nelle ultime sedute attorno al 20%. Facciamo dunque molta attenzione alla rottura ribassista dell'area 1295/1300, che avrebbe come immediato obiettivo i 1275 punti. La correzione potrebbe successivamente estendersi fino a 1230. Segnali positivi solo in If the sealing of 1300 and subsequent passing of 1332, which would set the market on its previous maximum in 1344 and would suggest a probable continuation of the trend up to 1400 points.

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IL Ftse MIB non regge i 22300 punti. Attenzione a 22000.

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The FTSE MIB can not permanently exceed the 22,300 points and remain consistent with the maximum number of decreasing short-term going to outline a dynamic resistance just above 22,300 today just passing through. The courses tend to flatten the top formed by this bearish trendline and the basis of short-term rising channel (now at about 22,180), and go to configure a pennant that could be closed up or down from today morning. Let's pay attention to the area of \u200b\u200b22000 points, below which we can expect the support of the static test 21650/800. Note that the projection of the bullish trend line (green dotted on the graph), starting from the low on November 30, will pass in the coming sessions of the 21650/800 exactly when that will be so crucial to hire a ' any reversal of negative trends. On the contrary, closing above 22,300 would think about the possible continuation of the uptrend in place, with room for new increases to 22,700 and 23,250 (the median of the channel and the previous maximum relative).

Monday, March 7, 2011

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Ftse MIB Apertura di settimana: tiene il supporto dei 22000 punti.

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Opening positive week for the market that is maintained over the area of \u200b\u200b22000 points and starts to climb to around 22,300, the first level of static strength for the short, setting up a bullish engulfing. Technical situation unchanged, still going to envision the scenario of a stalemate that we expected for these sessions. First positive sign in case of closing above 22,300, with 22,700 goal. Slight worsening in the case of descent below 22000, with a possible test of the critical support between 21650/800 points. Also note to test the bearish short of passing today at an altitude of 22,400, just above the highest seat (22,389 produced). The index may be trapped between these two levels (22000-22400) for a maximum of two to three sessions, then it will take a more assertive direction. For the moment ... Long Stay!

Friday, March 4, 2011

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Terzo massimo decrescente per il DAX, che gira in negativo.

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After a morning of upside, the Dax index retraces his steps and went to change direction in a rather net. Looking at the graph of the short term you can get the third highest decreasing over the last ten sessions, che va a delineare una resistenza dinamica a 7300. Su questo livello coincide la base del canale rialzista di medio termine, rotta al ribasso nella seduta del 23 febbraio scorso, che delineava il trend positivo dal settembre dello scorso anno. Il segnale non è dei migliori, considerando la doji gravestone di ieri e l'engulfing bearish di oggi che indicano chiaramente la mancanza di forza e l'incapacità del recupero dei 7300 punti. Prestiamo molta attenzione all'area di supporto statico compresa tra 7000 e 7090, al di sotto della quale verrebbe completato un primo segnale d'inversione della tendenza positiva.

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Bancari in fase di stallo. Indice Ftse Banks intrappolato attorno a 19800 punti.

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Continua la fase di incertezza di brevissimo termine sul settore bancario dopo il forte ribasso accusato dal settore nelle sedute tra il 18 e il 22 febbraio, in seguito al test e mancato breakout della resistenza statica compresa tra 21300 e 21500 punti. Nuovi allunghi ribassisti sono stati scongiurati con la tenuta dell'area 19400, ma l'indice resta adesso intrappolato in uno stretto trading range compreso tra questo livello e l'area 20100. Rimane ancora valida l'ipotesi di una bear flag ipotizzata nelle recenti analisi, che verrebbe completata con il cedimento confermato di 19500, movimento che aprirebbe lo spazio per il test dell'importantissimo supporto statico a 18850/900 punti. Sotto questo livello avremmo il probabile allungo ribassista fino a 18300 punti (che rappresenta la proiezione naturale della flag). Al contrario, la permanenza sopra 19500 e il recupero con chiusura sopra 20100 potrebbero favorire un nuovo tentativo di breakout dei 21300/500 punti, con target intermedio a 20800.

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Mercato laterale ancora fiacco. Bene i bancari.

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Dopo il cambiamento di fronte nel pomeriggio di ieri, che aveva lasciato pensare ad un possibile peggioramento per la seduta odierna, l'indice Ftse MIB recupera i 22300 e resta sopra la soglia dei 22000 punti. Tecnicamente non è cambiato nulla rispetto a quanto detto nelle recenti analisi. Tiene ancora il supporto dinamico rialzista short period, which passes right by the minimum day today (22 180), and the index tends to wedge between this support and the dynamic resistance descendant of the double top uniting short descending. This resistance would be denied with the return above 22,500 points, which would pave the way for a unritorno 22700. Let us note the return under 22,000 that would lead the market for a new test of the support within the range 21650/21800.

Thursday, March 3, 2011

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La Junta Trissino: foam ban, fine for those who sell it, but it is still affordable by the Deputy Mayor!


For the League come the foam has been banned, with fines for those who sell it but it's still in the shop of the family of Vice Mayor.


What is annoying to receive a carnival joke is true, it is even more gross if you foam. Despite the carnival every joke is told, this does not apply to Trissino. The junta has launched the League's invitation to this kind of practice, according to the doctrine Rancan. Trissino be called in for this line: so vigilant around, fines to motorists, beware of dogs before and their masters, some extra eye to those loitering around and act in times of carnival offers more in an article on local news. There is nothing better than to warn the voter that the junta League is alert and focusing on security. So the resolution duly takes issue with those who will use foam outlawed and those who sell.
We would have expected a more careful surveillance activities in the deliberations that gave us the ugliest building ever , and the most blatant industrial subdivision, but so goes the convent, so traders down too much I've already resized with victory the TAR on the appeal against the unbridled liberalization. So even with diligence will pay the merchant that sells the foam unsuspecting child. The thing that struck us, however, is that the largest supermarket in the center of Trissino had the foam on the shelves just banned, mind you not shooting stars but just the foam incrimanata.
then ask for traffic police not to be intimidated by the relatives of the Deputy Mayor Stefani and note that in the super market of his family Valentine's Day is for sale the product for which the council provides for sanctions from 25 to 500 Euros, and invite you to proceed with the fine, because it it is dangerous to the consumer foam but it is more than the dealer.

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Euro/Dollaro sale sopra 1,385 e allunga il passo. Prossima fermata 1,42.

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When updating the situation on the euro / dollar, which has passed force strength static quota 1.385, a level beyond which we expect further appreciation of the cross to the area 1,42 / 1.425. We can see how bullish the last leg of the short and in line with the evolving parabolic assumed in the recent analysis. The signal now would be denied only with the return under 1.375. We pay much attention to the test of the 1.42 / 425 because, as can be seen from the weekly chart, it represents the upper part of a broader trend in moderately bearish note from the maxima of July 2008. The breakout of 1.425 could mark the beginning of a new medium-term trend for the euro, which would first target the 1.50 area, but this scenario is still premature.

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Banca pop. Milano balza in avanti oltre il 4%. Target a breve in area 3,20/30

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Bank pop. Milan has made a strong pull upward in January, rising above the descending trendline dynamic medium term, which started from the maxima in January 2010. Prices have also met strong resistance in the 3.20 area, and have turned up at 2.82 doing a movement of return the dynamic resistance (clearly visible on the weekly chart). I share prices today with interesting volumes and recover the threshold of € 3.00. The MACD is back in positive territory and above the trigger line, after having shown a bullish divergence between December and January. The title is not far from the lows of the last 15 years, and could be close to a reversal of long-term trend. A first important signal of that arrive with the breakout of the 3,20 / 30, which would open up space for a length up to 4.20 (intermediate 3.80), then 4.80 €. Only the return of scores below 2.50 would be interpreted as a negative signal would fade permanently reverse the trend. Operations can be open long positions on the title with a view to short with stop loss below target in the range 2.80 and 3.20 / 30. In a time can accumulate larger positions on weakness with a stop loss to be fixed in 2.50, increasing positions in the portfolio above 3.30, with targets at 3.80 and 4.20.

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IL Ftse Mib conferma il recupero di 22300. I volumi di scambio però sono molto bassi.

The compilation of the levels of support to encourage the NYSE market to support the purchases, although trading volumes are currently very low. The scenario remains unchanged with the possibility of easing the side for the next sessions. The objective remains fixed 24200/500 area for the coming months.

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The compilation of the 1300 points on the S & P 500 NYSE in yesterday's session was very important, and allows the our market to remain above the area of \u200b\u200b22300 points, confirming the current uptrend that takes us from the beginning of the year. Let's take a look at the technical scenario in a broader horizon. The index has recovered in January, the bullish trendline secondary originated at the end of May 2010 (which can be regarded as a kind of interpolation of market fluctuations over the last nine months), and carried out after the breakout of the bearish trend line that begins with maxima in October 2009. After its peak at an altitude of 23,273 points in February, the index has achieved a pullback to test the bear, which is to be interpreted as a new test of the secondary bullish (green) and the base of the positive trend in the short term. This movement had been well anticipated by a bearish divergence on the RSI 14, which is subsequently released from overbought. The range of values \u200b\u200bbetween 21650 and 21800 is the critical point for a possible worsening of the scenario. Looking at the weekly chart you can see very well the release of the index from a symmetrical triangle with the mid-term summit 21000, and the technical pullback on the figure in response to test upper secondary bullish channel around 23,300 (23,273 built). Situation therefore neutral and mildly positive for the medium and long term, that could worsen significantly only in the event of return under 20800/600 points. Strong band of resistance to static 24200/500, which could be the next target in the case of tight 21650/800.

Wednesday, March 2, 2011

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IL Ftse MIB tiene il trend e si ripropone a 22300 punti.

Since this morning I expected a stronger correction of our index, and especially the banking sector, at least up to 21650/21700 points, but this did not happen. The market once again play on the counterattack and recover with the decision 22000 points going to almost 22,300. Remains valid on the rising trend of short, although you can see a double top-down (we have highlighted with red short bearish trendline). The Parabolic SAR still indicates the beginning of a downward trend, but all will be confirmed only with the collapse of 21,650, and then breaking the bullish trend line that starts at the relative low of 30 last November, and that will pass in the coming sessions 21300/350 share. Thus dominates the uncertainty, and this narrow trading range in trend may continue for a few sessions before a direction more accurate. Above 22700 will signal a new bull. Note the performance of Telecom has moved in contrasts sharply since the morning, and the reverse on the bank on which to head back to the positive sign.

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Sull'indice S&P 500 la situazione si complica. Fondamentale la tenuta di 1290/1300.

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After a sharp decline yesterday, which saw the S & P 500 yield approximately 1, 6% and Dow Jones about 1, 3%, the scenario becomes more complex strongly on equity Stars and Stripes. Let me be clear: the bearish reversal signal has not arrived yet, but we can not deny that it is getting closer and closer. What immediately leaps to the eye, looking at the chart of the S & P 500 are the two Long Black on February 22 and March 1. It was a long time that the index did not suffer two such substantial declines in the space of six sessions. The bearish engulfing yesterday's heavy because it encompasses the entire previous two candles bullish end of February, and why should I configure a double top downward rather sharp and dangerous inclination. The decline was content with extreme precision from the bottom of the bullish channel establishment, in place since September 2010, loop portion 1330. We much attention to the range of values \u200b\u200bbetween this level and share of 1290, where the dish pass involute assumed (in yellow), static and psychological support of 1300 points, and above the moving average of 55 sessions. This equalization is not penetrated downward since August last year, and is the trigger for the start of a new downturn in the short to medium term, which would have a minimal target ceiling in 1225 and in 1170, level from which the latter passing the 200-day average and the base of primary bullish trend in place since March 2009. A correction of this type would not be dramatic, but it would be a healthy rebalancing of U.S. equity curve, which could create significant new opportunities for purchase. If the area between 1290 and 1330 were required to support even the courses would be some hope for the continuation of the trend in the secondary act, that would only further confirmed the breakout of 1350 points. The target in this case would be detectable in 1400 (the upper secondary trend) and then 1450 (the top of the primary trend). This second hypothesis appears less likely at the moment.